Poll: Thompson, Clinton widen their leads in Georgia
The Savannah Morning News ^ | October 25, 2007 | Larry Peterson
Presidential hopeful Fred Thompson has soared to a nearly 2-to-1 lead over his closest Republican rival in the latest statewide poll.
In survey results announced Wednesday by Strategic Vision, the former U.S. senator from Tennessee led Rudy Giuliani, 39 percent to 20 percent.
Thompson added 4 percentage points to the advantage he enjoyed over the former New York mayor in a Strategic Vision poll taken last month.
All the other Republican candidates are in single digits.
Meanwhile, U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York widened her lead over U.S. Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois in the Democratic campaign.
Clinton led Obama, 40 percent to 27 percent.
Former North Carolina senator John Edwards was a distant third at 11 percent. No other Democrat had more than 5 percent.
Clinton's increasing strength in Georgia reflects a trend demonstrated by national polls and surveys in other states.
In Georgia, Clinton is outpolling Obama even among his fellow African-Americans, said David E. Johnson, chief executive officer of Strategic Vision.
Thompson's dominance in the Peach State stands out against his numbers in other states, which have been mostly flat in recent weeks.
"Much of this can be attributed to former supporters of Newt Gingrich going for Thompson, now that Gingrich is officially out of the race," Johnson said.
Gingrich, a Georgian and a former U.S. House speaker, was backed by 9 percent of the Republicans surveyed by Strategic Vision in September.
University of Georgia political science professor Charles Bullock speculated that much of Thompson's support might be coming from north Georgia.
He's likely to be especially well-known there, Bullock said, because of exposure in the Chattanooga media market, based in the candidate's home state.
Johnson confirmed that Thompson's support was strongest in north Georgia and in southern Georgia, including Savannah.
Giuliani, he said, did relatively well in the Atlanta metropolitan area.
Many Chatham County elected officials, including all of the area's GOP state legislators, have endorsed Thompson.
Johnson cited the numbers of undecided voters - 13 percent of the Republicans and 12 percent of the Democrats.
That's "fairly high" this close to primary elections that begin in January and suggests that the numbers are still subject to change, he said.
Bullock restated what many others have said: Georgia's Feb. 5 primary election might not matter much.
In both parties, he said, it's at least possible that one of the candidates, especially Clinton, may build up unstoppable momentum in earlier contests.
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LATEST statewide STRATEGIC VISION POLL*
Republicans
Fred Thompson, 39 percent
Rudy Giuliani, 20 percent
John McCain, 9 percent
Mike Huckabee, 7 percent
Mitt Romney, 6 percent
Ron Paul, 3 percent
Tom Tancredo, 2 percent
Duncan Hunter, 1 percent
Undecided, 13 percent
Democrats
Hillary Clinton, 40 percent
Barack Obama, 27 percent
John Edwards, 11 percent
Bill Richardson, 5 percent
Joseph Biden, 3 percent
Chris Dodd, 1 percent
Dennis Kucinich, 1 percent
Undecided, 12 percent
* Oct. 19-21 survey that included 368 Republicans voters and 328 Democrats, all considered "likely voters." Margin of error for those groups, plus or minus 6.5 percent.
Source: Strategic Vision
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