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  • Re: Weather Thread

    Originally posted by Ryan Ruck View Post
    Going on almost 2 years since we've seen a Winter Storm Warning.

    Add 30 more days... Coming up on 700 days with no significant snow event.




    Meanwhile it looks like Thursday is supposed to get above 60, in the middle of January! Guess I'll go hose off all the salt on my truck from our 1.5" "storm".

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    • Re: Weather Thread

      We've had 5 shitty storms, one brought about 5 inches. The rest have been 1-3 type deals. I.e. Nothing fun.

      It looks like we're done with big storms till at least February and the MJO is indicating we're not going to get shit in Feb either. Winter is done
      Last edited by Malsua; January 9th, 2018, 15:20.
      "Far better it is to dare mighty things, to win glorious triumphs even though checkered by failure, than to rank with those poor spirits who neither enjoy nor suffer much because they live in the gray twilight that knows neither victory nor defeat."
      -- Theodore Roosevelt

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      • Re: Weather Thread

        For us, there's talk of a potential big system Friday into Saturday.

        The models have been going back and forth on where exactly but they're all saying a big system in that time frame. Guess we'll know more on Wednesday when it gets sampled.

        I'm going to go check my snow chains just to make sure we don't get anything.

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        • Re: US Embassy Employees In Cuba Possibly Subject To 'Acoustic Attack'






          Lock it down!

          On the other hand, oh my...



          Guess it might be a good idea to top up the kerosene and diesel.


          Just watched one local met on the 11pm news. All he would commit to was that there will be accumulating snow, no commitment at all to amounts. Just showed visuals of 4 models, no names for them, just #1-4.

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          • Re: Weather Thread

            Local met just called for highest probability of storm being 2-5" total by Saturday (didn't give any totals on FZR/sleet but Accuweather is saying "An icy mix up to 1" "). I'd be okay (just okay) with 5" as that'd be the most single storm total I've seen in a spell. Still mentioned below 50% probabilities of +6" so who knows since, you know, local mets have never been wrong.

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            • Re: Weather Thread

              Things still looking a bit uncertain with this right around the corner.

              We've gone from a crush job 4-5 days out, to a nuisance a couple days later, and now models are bringing this back in to decent territory.

              And I saw this... I'm in the blue area FYI. Can't believe it's been nearly 3 years for the Dayton area. I could have sworn they got a decent snow last year (like in the 6"+ territory) but it might have been a surprise storm that dumped more than expected on them so the NWS didn't have a chance to issue.

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              • Re: Weather Thread

                I think this might just be a Wilmington, OH (ILN) only utility but I thought it was pretty cool.

                You can go back to 1999 to see significant weather events and how they impacted the forecast area.

                https://www.weather.gov/iln/events

                You could try substituting your local WX office's 3 letter ID in place of ILN's in the URL to see if there's others with the same thing but I didn't see any links.

                Would be nice if it went back further. Would like to see the data on some of the heavy hitting snows we had in the mid/early 90s as I recall some decent ones in '94 and '95, one of which was right around Halloween.

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                • Re: Weather Thread

                  Talk about getting the rug pulled out from under you overnight... Looking at SREF Plumes, my mean (at CVG which is a decent bit west of me but about the same latitude) is down to around 2.5" now from 4.5" with the highest outlier model not even showing 5".

                  On top of that we're not even getting the benefit of any sleet/ice. We're at 34-35 with light rain and about to get/getting dry slotted. Literally the worst of everything.



                  The Winter Storm Warning drought continues...



                  I know we can get good snows up through early March here (and some of the heaviest have happened then but they tend to be short lived) but I'm about to join your camp Mal and throw in the towel for this winter. Hell, I'd be glad to get the 5"er you saw. Damn do I need to move.

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                  • Re: Weather Thread

                    Well, temp has plunged 10 degrees in the last 3 hours or so and winds are steady in the 10+ category with frequent gusts above 20 and, the dry slot looks to have filled in.

                    NAM saying we might still luck out but I'll believe it when I see it...

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                    • Re: Weather Thread

                      Storm looks to be wrapping up here soon. No surprise, didn't get anywhere near what the 18z NAM was showing. LOL

                      Even though the snowfall rates and totals weren't overly impressive and met the local mets' forecasts, the amount of wind we've gotten with the sleet under the snowpack made it a bit worse than it looks on paper. Not enough to get me to go out and play in it with the truck but, it was a bit bigger than some models might have suggested.

                      I'd venture we got maybe 3"-4" but, due to the winds and drifting, it's hard to get an accurate measurement. I've got spots in my yard with grass exposed and other spots where it's at least 6"-7" drifted.

                      The wind is still very impressive with this. It's been a solid 10+ with 20+ gusts the whole time. Some local wind measurements recorded 40 gusts. Combine that with the 18 degree current temp and it makes for a nasty wind chill!

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